Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.457711 4.142132 4.907132 5.822708 6.885678 8.077763 9.512598
2025-07-06 2.449629 3.312595 4.380180 5.786203 7.575929 9.763479 12.623254
2025-07-13 1.983963 2.963381 4.278657 6.146999 8.700477 12.031513 16.661495
2025-07-20 1.618273 2.638106 4.108843 6.337152 9.569329 14.017786 20.516052
2025-07-27 1.384966 2.438561 4.055287 6.643915 10.592042 16.273497 24.918973
2025-08-03 1.140692 2.163569 3.829073 6.638215 11.127175 17.856498 28.483455
2025-08-10 0.908523 1.855503 3.490086 6.389818 11.235131 18.785325 31.130514
2025-08-17 0.731704 1.605012 3.198876 6.164187 11.329438 19.670342 33.748312
2025-08-24 0.621252 1.454652 3.054399 6.159985 11.772045 21.121719 37.343294
2025-08-31 0.533510 1.330236 2.934991 6.177801 12.242286 22.641654 41.147060
2025-09-07 0.451910 1.200448 2.782346 6.108106 12.539783 23.881906 44.563047
2025-09-14 0.364549 1.037007 2.533119 5.813173 12.383276 24.311485 46.615558
2025-09-21 0.310951 0.943074 2.418081 5.778481 12.727542 25.678413 50.445791
2025-09-28 0.265215 0.857795 2.307583 5.737673 13.054615 27.040738 54.372737
2025-10-05 0.250218 0.851297 2.377208 6.094311 14.214531 30.038217 61.472016
2025-10-12 0.227074 0.816146 2.372185 6.282548 15.043076 32.464577 67.671838
2025-10-19 0.212184 0.801708 2.415824 6.586829 16.143186 35.491508 75.188323
2025-10-26 0.185027 0.742014 2.333091 6.581124 16.571229 37.222160 80.335695
2025-11-02 0.152554 0.655114 2.161618 6.334600 16.438374 37.811142 83.297743
2025-11-09 0.126184 0.580392 2.008688 6.110688 16.328585 38.430154 86.346425
2025-11-16 0.110469 0.539333 1.944565 6.106517 16.725456 40.128735 91.658187
2025-11-23 0.097401 0.504202 1.891521 6.124196 17.174440 41.966448 97.360212
2025-11-30 0.083982 0.462893 1.811122 6.055034 17.403716 43.341598 102.182289